Lyon and Fenerbahçe Set for UCL Playoff Decider at Groupama Stadium

Lyon and Fenerbahçe face off in the Champions League playoff second leg at Groupama Stadium after a 1-1 draw in Istanbul, determining who will play in the Champions League or Europa League this fall.

The match is scheduled for 3:00 PM EDT on August 26, with Lyon favored to advance at 64%, though the market shows less confidence in a large margin victory for Lyon.

Lyon last appeared in Europe's top competition in 2019, exiting in the semi-finals. Fenerbahçe seeks to end an 18-year absence, having failed to qualify nine times during this period.

The odds reflect that Lyon only needs a narrow win to progress, with a 1-0 or 2-1 victory sufficient. The market prices Lyon advancing higher than Lyon winning by more than 1.5 goals.

The match's over 2.5 goals market sits at 54%, consistent with both teams scoring in the first leg. Anderson Talisca remains a key contributor for Fenerbahçe, involved in nearly every goal this season.